US Elections Predictions & Odds· 266 markets
W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$102k Vol.
$28k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$28k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$322k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$322k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
51%
Democratic Party
2
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
N
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$766 Vol.
$625 Liq.
Ended
$766 Vol.$625 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$92k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$92k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
2
19%
115-120m
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$403 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$403 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
R
27%
≤47
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$416k Liq.
141
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$416k Liq.141Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
W
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
$0 Vol.
$855 Liq.
5
Ended
$0 Vol.$855 Liq.5Ended
2%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$450k Vol.
$27k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months
$450k Vol.$27k Liq.51Ends in 3 months
84%
Yes
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes