US Elections Predictions & Odds· 262 markets
W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$104k Vol.
$40k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$104k Vol.$40k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$386k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$386k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$109k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$109k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
2
23%
115-120m
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$405 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$405 Liq.Ends in 7 months
81%
Yes
R
27%
≤47
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$555k Liq.
146
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$555k Liq.146Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
W
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
$413 Vol.
$188 Liq.
5
Ended
$413 Vol.$188 Liq.5Ended
2%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$51k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$51k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$588k Vol.
$62k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$588k Vol.$62k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
35%
22–23
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes