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US Employment Predictions & Odds· 133 markets

AllPoliticsUSBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1U.S. PoliticsUS GovernmentAIIndiaEmploymentCultureUS EconomyLayoffsLabor MarketJobsFebruary Job ReportUS EmploymentEmployment RateImmigrationTechMinnesotaUnemploymentUS JobsEconomyTim WalzTwitchStreamerBlsTrump PresidencyMacro UnemploymentMacro JobsH1bTrump 100 DaysImmigration/BorderExecutive ActionsFirst 100 DaysBig TechMacro IndicatorsICEMinneapolisJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollClavicularMinnesota UnrestSteve GroveJonathan Ross
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Culture·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1

11%

Yes

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$27k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months

64%

5.0%

H
How many jobs added in March?

Economy·nonfarm payroll

How many jobs added in March?

$15k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

31%

100k+

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$40k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days

28%

4.4%

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

5%

Up

I
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Politics·minnesota

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$316k Vol.
$10k Liq.
28
Ended

0%

Yes

H
How many Jobs added in February?

Finance·us

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

H
How many Jobs added in April?

jobs · us jobs

How many Jobs added in April?

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

150-200k

H
How many Jobs added in May?

unemployment · employment

How many Jobs added in May?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

250-300k

H
How many Jobs added in June?

Politics·unemployment

How many Jobs added in June?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

200-250k

W
Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

Politics·H1b

Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Culture·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

No

H
How many Jobs added in March?

jobs · Business

How many Jobs added in March?

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>275k (Feb #)

D
December Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Unemployment

December Unemployment Rate

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

≤4.1%

H
How many jobs added in November?

Politics·Macro Jobs

How many jobs added in November?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
88
Ended

200-250k

H
How many jobs added in February?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in February?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<25k

H
How many jobs added in January?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in January?

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>125k

H
How many jobs added in December?

Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in December?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

50k–75k