US News Predictions & Odds· 470 markets
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$483.5m Vol.
$28.9m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
809
Ends in over 2 years
$483.5m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$28.9m Liq.809Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$482k Liq.
146
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$482k Liq.146Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
R
27%
≤47
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$18k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$92k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$92k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
K
40%
December 31, 2026
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$766k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$766k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
60%
Democratic
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
M
March Inflation US - Annual
$3.1m Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$77k today
Ends in 8 days
$3.1m Vol.🔥$77k today$127k Liq.Ends in 8 days
98%
≥2.8%
M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$889k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$889k Vol.$84k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
≥3.4%
G
GTA VI released before June 2026?
$13.0m Vol.
$84k Liq.
27
Ends in about 2 months
$13.0m Vol.$84k Liq.27Ends in about 2 months
2%
Yes
C
California Governor Election Winner
$8.2m Vol.
$817k Liq.
19
Ends in 7 months
$8.2m Vol.$817k Liq.19Ends in 7 months
61%
Eric Swalwell
F
80%
Republican
S
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
$9k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$9k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 7 months
92%
Republican
K
85%
Republican
S
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$18k Vol.$24k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
88%
Republican
N
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
$42k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$42k Vol.$36k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
87%
Democrat
T
Texas Senate Election Winner
$160k Vol.
$72k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$160k Vol.$72k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
57%
Republican