2024 Ca Senate Primary Predictions & Odds· 161 markets
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$336k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$1.4m Vol.$336k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$483k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$483k Liq.Ends in 7 months
86%
Democratic Party
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
19%
May 31
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
W
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
$32k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$32k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
82%
Yes
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$20k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$20k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
1
0%
Yes
W
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
$524 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$524 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 12 days
87%
Yes
W
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
$52 Vol.
$273 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$52 Vol.$273 Liq.Ends in 12 days
44%
Yes
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
J
Culture
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
N
92%
Oklahoma City Thunder
W
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
72%
Yes
F
31%
June 30