Approvals Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
38%
39.5–39.9
13%
Up
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$174 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$174 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
50%
Up
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$5k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
45%
Yes
4%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$12k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$81k Vol.$50k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79