Artifical Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 310 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
61%
Yes
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
43%
Yes
11%
Yes
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
$488k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$488k Vol.$61k Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
100%
OpenAI
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$123k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$123k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
28%
June 30
46%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Yes
8%
Yes
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
$23k Vol.
$72k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$72k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
74%
Congresswoman