Artificial Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$4k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
61%
Yes
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 6 days
73%
Peace Through Strength
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 11 days
79%
Dollar 5+ times
22%
December 31, 2026
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
45%
December 31, 2026
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
8%
Yes
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
$487k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in about 14 hours
$487k Vol.$61k Liq.3Ends in about 14 hours
100%
OpenAI
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
3%
Yes
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$169k Liq.
20
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.1m Vol.$169k Liq.20Ends in about 14 hours
99%
OpenAI
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$480 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$480 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$285k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$285k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
100%
Anthropic