Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$16k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$16k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$74k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$74k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
34%
Yes
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
81%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 27 days
90%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$78k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days
$237k Vol.$78k Liq.5Ends in 18 days
92%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$344 Vol.
$381 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$344 Vol.$381 Liq.Ends in 7 months
17%
Yes
W
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$398 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$398 Liq.Ends in 7 months
57%
Yes
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$8k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$24k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$24k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$241 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$241 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
S
Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
