Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$54k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$54k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
34%
Yes
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
80%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
5
Ends in 19 days
$237k Vol.$51k Liq.5Ends in 19 days
92%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$344 Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$344 Vol.$407 Liq.Ends in 7 months
17%
Yes
W
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$417 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$417 Liq.Ends in 7 months
57%
Yes
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$24k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$24k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$241 Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$241 Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$11k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
$11k Vol.$62k Liq.1Ends in 7 days
94%
BJP
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
32%
Yes
W
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$20k Vol.
$36k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$36k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
K
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$143k Vol.
$103k Liq.
34
Ends in 7 days
$143k Vol.$103k Liq.34Ends in 7 days
76%
INC
S
22%
December 31