Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-1
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-1Ends in 3 months
68%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$47k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$47k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$688 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$754 Vol.$688 Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$380 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$263 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$263 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$256 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$256 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
31%
April 30
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$24k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$63k Vol.
$74k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 days
$63k Vol.$74k Liq.19Ends in 9 days
63%
INC