Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-1
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-1Ends in 3 months
68%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$46k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$46k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$662 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$754 Vol.$662 Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$375 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$375 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$260 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$260 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$258 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$258 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
