Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$95k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
102
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 Vol.
$224 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

51%

No Change

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$13k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

19%

Yes

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 Vol.
$223 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No change

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days

18%

April 30

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$125k today
173

16%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$6k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$56 Vol.
$815 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

87%

Up

W
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?

$263 Vol.
$506 Liq.
Ends in 13 days

60%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

$175k Vol.
$17k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

51%

↓ 100

W
What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

$93k Vol.
$42k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

71%

↓ 500

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$431k Liq.
🔥$167k today
258
Ends in 3 months

62%

>$600M

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$92k Liq.
35
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$67k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes