Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$148k Liq.
130
Ends in about 6 hours
$3.4m Vol.$148k Liq.130Ends in about 6 hours
2%
India
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$231k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$231k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
4%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$18k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
98%
Stratton 6–9%
NBA Draft · Sports
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
$37 Vol.
$468 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37 Vol.$468 Liq.Ends in 3 months
73%
Yes
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
$67k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 year
$67k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 1 year
7%
Yes
27%
1.5% to 1.7%
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$14k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in about 6 hours
$199k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$536k Vol.
$39k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$536k Vol.$39k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
40%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$486 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$486 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes