Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$178k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$178k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$427k today
818
Ends in 9 months
$22.1m Vol.🔥$427k today$1.3m Liq.818Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$31k Liq.
4
Ended
$98k Vol.$31k Liq.4Ended
86%
Democrats (D)
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$91k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$91k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$30k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$30k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 30 days
2%
Yes
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$28k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$28k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ended
$82k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ended
1%
Yes
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$314k Vol.
$16k Liq.
112
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$16k Liq.112Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
42%
0.0–0.2%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$54k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$54k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
$284k Vol.$11k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
$74k Vol.$7k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$390k Liq.
🔥$179k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$179k today$390k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$851k Liq.
🔥$170k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$170k today$851k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes