Cboe Volatility Index Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Prediction Markets · Business
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
$196k Vol.
$6k Liq.
6
Ends in about 5 hours
$196k Vol.$6k Liq.6Ends in about 5 hours
50%
CME

27%
Yes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$26k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
41%
1250+

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
53%
>5%

Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$353k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$353k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
100%
<0%

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179

S&P 500 Single-Day Gains and Losses (%) in Q1
$330k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$330k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
7%
2% Gain

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
7%
Up

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
$28k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
$28k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 2 days
45%
Yes

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
160-179

Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
200–229

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
20 - 25 minutes

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$158k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 10 days
100%
150+

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$154k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
73%
160-179

Nothing Ever Happens: March
$293k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$293k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
71%
Nothing
