Change Predictions & Odds· 3707 markets
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$212k Liq.
🔥$125k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$125k today$212k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$377 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$377 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Fed decision in April?
$39.1m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
22
Ends in 29 days
$39.1m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.5m Liq.22Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.8m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$513k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$513k today$253k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$744k Liq.
🔥$166k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$166k today$744k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$173k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$173k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 28 days
80%
Decrease
Bank of England decision in April?
$202k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$202k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
No change
90%
Decrease
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$234k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$234k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 28 days
69%
25 bps increase
96%
No change
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$215k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$215k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
No change
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$164k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$164k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
98%
Increase
94%
No Change
78%
Decrease
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
No change
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$353k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$353k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
100%
<0%
96%
No Change