Change Predictions & Odds· 595 markets
L
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.4m Vol.
$241k Liq.
🔥$165k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$165k today$241k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$325 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$325 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
11%
Yes
F
Fed decision in April?
$40.2m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
26
Ends in 29 days
$40.2m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$4.2m Liq.26Ends in 29 days
98%
No change
F
Fed Decision in July?
$3.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
🔥$850k today
1
Ends in 4 months
$3.1m Vol.🔥$850k today$267k Liq.1Ends in 4 months
77%
No change
F
Fed Decision in June?
$4.8m Vol.
$871k Liq.
🔥$283k today
14
Ends in 3 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$283k today$871k Liq.14Ends in 3 months
89%
No change
B
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$176k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days
$176k Vol.$24k Liq.1Ends in 28 days
82%
Decrease
B
Bank of England decision in April?
$204k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$204k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
79%
No change
B
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$237k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$42k Liq.1Ends in 28 days
74%
25 bps increase
E
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$219k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$219k Vol.$62k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
63%
No change
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in April
$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$4k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 8 days
96%
No Change
B
97%
No change
C
99%
Increase
B
50%
Decrease
B
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
82%
No Change
B
92%
Decrease
B
Bank of Korea decision in May?
$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
66%
No Change
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
78%
No change