Change Predictions & Odds· 595 markets

L
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

38%

Leadership Change

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.4m Vol.
$241k Liq.
🔥$165k today
887
Ends in 9 months

44%

December 31

W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

$325 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

11%

Yes

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$40.2m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
26
Ends in 29 days

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
🔥$850k today
1
Ends in 4 months

77%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m Vol.
$871k Liq.
🔥$283k today
14
Ends in 3 months

89%

No change

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$176k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

82%

Decrease

B
Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$204k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

79%

No change

B
Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$237k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

74%

25 bps increase

E
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$219k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

63%

No change

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

96%

No Change

B
Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

$65k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

97%

No change

C
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

$165k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ended

99%

Increase

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

Decrease

B
Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

82%

No Change

B
Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

$26k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 24 days

92%

Decrease

B
Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

66%

No Change

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

78%

No change

Q
Q1 S&P 500 Performance

Q1 S&P 500 Performance

$353k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ended

100%

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