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Change Predictions & Odds· 3707 markets

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Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Politics·democrat

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

34%

Leadership Change

Iran leadership change by...?

Politics·Mojtaba

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.3m Vol.
$215k Liq.
🔥$132k today
887
Ends in 9 months

50%

December 31

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Politics·US Election

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

$293 Vol.
$400 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

15%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$38.9m Vol.
$3.2m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
18
Ends in 29 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Economy·fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$2.6m Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$411k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Politics·Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m Vol.
$753k Liq.
🔥$226k today
11
Ends in 3 months

88%

No change

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

$54k Vol.
$754k Liq.
1
Ended

100%

No Change

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

World·Brazil

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$172k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

83%

Decrease

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

Economy·Interest Rate

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$215k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

63%

No change

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Canada decision in April?

$65k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

96%

No change

Bank of England decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Bank of England decision in April?

$201k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

81%

No change

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Russia decision in April?

$25k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 24 days

89%

Decrease

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

World·Japan

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$233k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

67%

25 bps increase

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

Economy·Economic Policy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

$163k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

98%

Increase

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

93%

No Change

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

80%

No change

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Economy·South Korea

Bank of Korea decision in April?

$23k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

96%

No Change

Q1 S&P 500 Performance

Economy·Indicies

Q1 S&P 500 Performance

$352k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours

100%

<0%

Bank of Korea decision in May?

World·Economic Policy

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

68%

No Change