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W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$314k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

31%

Yes

M
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$37k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in about 19 hours

98%

14.2-14.4m sq km

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

24%

Yes

W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate & Science·climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

3%

Yes

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months

12%

Yes

M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

40%

<4m sq km

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Tech·Big Tech

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.0m Vol.
$177k Liq.
🔥$60k today
172
Ends in over 1 year

63%

Other

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

97%

↑2k

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

28%

14–16

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$86k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months

68%

8+

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Culture·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m Vol.
$119k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months

45%

2

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Tech·IPOs

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$84k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

39%

Goldman Sachs

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Tech·Big Tech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$904k Vol.
$120k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

93%

>$1T

N
NASA Artemis II

Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

$708k Vol.
$17k Liq.
95
Ended

94%

April 30

P
Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Climate & Science·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$331k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

5-6"

M
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Climate & Science·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$393k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

1600

P
Precipitation in NYC in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$180k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

3-4"

1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k Vol.
$19k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Tech·IPO

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$653k Vol.
$91k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year

47%

2.0T+