Demographic Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$136k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$136k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
March 24
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$15k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 1 year
44%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$97k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$97k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
300-400k
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
80%
Up
20%
115-120m
72%
4.0–5.0%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
9%
Up
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?
$11k Vol.
$197 Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$197 Liq.15Ends in 9 months
52%
Boy
33%
4.4%