Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
$920k Vol.
$69k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$920k Vol.$69k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes
36%
1.0-2.0%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$21k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%
33%
4.4%
>$100 Billion
Wednesday, Nov 6
All
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?
$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$81k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
≤4.0%
John Mahama
100-150k
September 18
Daniel Noboa (ADN)