Eruption Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 12 months
12%
Yes
27%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$667k Vol.
$19k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$667k Vol.$19k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
46%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
43%
Yes
30%
Yes
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$108 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
69%
↑ $3.00
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
8%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20
1%
Yes
What price will Hyperliquid hit in March?
$559k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
$559k Vol.$57k Liq.1Ends in 1 day
3%
↑ 44
60%
April 17
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$27k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
<20