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Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 326 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedUS PoliticsMAGAFed RatesEconomyDerivativesFOMCMacro SingleParlaysJerome PowellEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsTreasuriesWarshKevin WarshJudy SheltonChair Of The Federal Reserve
Fed decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$38.0m Vol.
$3.1m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
18
Ends in 30 days

97%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$272k today
57
Ends in 9 months

38%

0 (0 bps)

Fed Decision in June?

Politics·Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m Vol.
$862k Liq.
🔥$245k today
11
Ends in 3 months

87%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Economy·fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$2.4m Vol.
$271k Liq.
🔥$210k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$669k Vol.
$42k Liq.
26
Ends in 8 months

25%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$101k Liq.
17
Ends in 30 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Politics·Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

44%

2

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

53%

>5%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$346k Liq.
🔥$467k today
7
Ends in 8 months

34%

3.75%

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Politics·Trump

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.6m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$439k today
72
Ends in 7 months

96%

Kevin Warsh

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$374k today
17
Ends in 9 months

60%

↓ 3.25%

Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$179k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

63%

December Meeting

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m Vol.
$167k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month

2%

May 14

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Politics·Trump

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

3%

Yes

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Finance·Jerome Powell

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$239k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in about 14 hours

11%

4.5%

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Finance·Jerome Powell

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$154k Vol.
$21k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

88%

4.5%