Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$22k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$22k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 27 days
9%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$18k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
$989 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$989 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$121k today$18k Liq.173
15%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
F
31%
June 30
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
$601k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$601k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
12%
December 31, 2026
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
$162k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$162k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$38k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$38k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$722k Vol.
$89k Liq.
45
Ends in 9 months
$722k Vol.$89k Liq.45Ends in 9 months
30%
7
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$68k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$68k today$69k Liq.Ended
57%
June 30
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$492k Vol.
$202k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$492k Vol.$202k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
80-99
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$132k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes