Gemini Ultra Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
G
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$64k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
40%+
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$46k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$46k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
30%
June 30
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 12 days
85%
April 15
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$15k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$10k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
98%
Claude by Anthropic
M
51%
Yes
C
67%
June 30
N
41%
Yes
C
60%
June 30
U
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$127k Vol.
$101k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
$127k Vol.$101k Liq.3Ends in over 1 year
54%
$200M
W
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
$51k Vol.
$7k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$7k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31, 2027
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$191k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$191k Vol.$21k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
95%
35%+
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$28k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$28k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
V
Esports · Valorant
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$12k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 27 days
97%
April 1
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$174k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$174k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$599k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$38k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3