General Predictions & Odds· 315 markets
Quebec General Election Winner
$377k Vol.
$75k Liq.
47
Ends in 6 months
$377k Vol.$75k Liq.47Ends in 6 months
58%
PQ
68%
55-60%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$391k Vol.
$12k Liq.
18
Ended
$391k Vol.$12k Liq.18Ended
50%
June 30, 2026
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$12k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
50%
June 30
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton
48%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
98%
Beinir Johannesen
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep
90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$16k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ended
0%
Yes
Next President of Vietnam
$27.6m Vol.
$476k Liq.
🔥$546k today
238
Ended
$27.6m Vol.🔥$546k today$476k Liq.238Ended
94%
Tô Lâm
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.9m Vol.
$458k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$458k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election Winner
$4.5m Vol.
$590k Liq.
🔥$198k today
669
Ends in 12 days
$4.5m Vol.🔥$198k today$590k Liq.669Ends in 12 days
35%
Rafael López Aliaga
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$83k Liq.
🔥$102k today
104
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$102k today$83k Liq.104Ends in 30 days
21%
Yes
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$463k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$463k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$229k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$229k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$393k Vol.
$341k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$393k Vol.$341k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$453k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ended
$453k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ended
61%
20-24