General Predictions & Odds· 1309 markets
T
53%
55-60%
Q
Quebec General Election Winner
$377k Vol.
$78k Liq.
47
Ends in 6 months
$377k Vol.$78k Liq.47Ends in 6 months
58%
PQ
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$392k Vol.
$12k Liq.
18
Ended
$392k Vol.$12k Liq.18Ended
50%
June 30, 2026
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
58
Ended
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.58Ended
50%
59-60%
P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
T
Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton
W
51%
Rebeca Grynspan
N
98%
Beinir Johannesen
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep
W
90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
E
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$15k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ended
0%
Yes
N
Next President of Vietnam
$27.6m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$471k today
239
Ended
$27.6m Vol.🔥$471k today$490k Liq.239Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
P
Peru Presidential Election Winner
$4.6m Vol.
$577k Liq.
🔥$254k today
674
Ends in 12 days
$4.6m Vol.🔥$254k today$577k Liq.674Ends in 12 days
35%
Rafael López Aliaga
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.9m Vol.
$450k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$450k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$100k Liq.
🔥$151k today
105
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$151k today$100k Liq.105Ends in 30 days
17%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$250k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$250k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$463k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$463k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$460k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ended
$460k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ended
69%
20-24
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$393k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$393k Vol.$1.1m Liq.2Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell