General Predictions & Odds· 1309 markets

Q
Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

$377k Vol.
$68k Liq.
47
Ends in 6 months

58%

PQ

N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$392k Vol.
$12k Liq.
18
Ended

50%

June 30, 2026

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$18k Liq.
358
Ended

68%

55-60%

P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

51%

June 30

T
Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

79%

Mayes Middleton

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

50%

59-60%

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ended

51%

Rebeca Grynspan

N
Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

Beinir Johannesen

P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

$45k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

69%

Dem-Rep

W
WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

$1k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

89%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

E
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months

92%

Prosperity

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended

0%

Yes

N
Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$27.6m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$484k today
239
Ended

95%

Tô Lâm

P
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

$4.6m Vol.
$527k Liq.
🔥$251k today
674
Ends in 12 days

35%

Rafael López Aliaga

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$3.9m Vol.
$449k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$147k today
105
Ends in 30 days

14%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$245k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

3%

Yes

W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$473k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

66%

20-24

W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

$393k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

64%

Eric Swalwell