Geopolitcs Predictions & Odds· 513 markets
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$99.7m Vol.
$19.7m Liq.
🔥$26.0m today
6,577
$99.7m Vol.🔥$26.0m today$19.7m Liq.6,577
71%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.4m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$7.5m today
1,411
$81.4m Vol.🔥$7.5m today$2.5m Liq.1,411
73%
December 31
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$112.4m Vol.
$21.1m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
36
Ends in 9 months
$112.4m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$21.1m Liq.36Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.371Ended
87%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.2m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.4m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$11.0m Vol.
$523k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
214
Ends in 3 months
$11.0m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$523k Liq.214Ends in 3 months
78%
June 30
W
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$3.2m Vol.
$120k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
Ended
$3.2m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$120k Liq.Ended
97%
Mohammed bin Salman
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$804k today
12
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$804k today$1.6m Liq.12Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$470k Liq.
🔥$562k today
232
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$562k today$470k Liq.232Ended
28%
June 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$452k Liq.
🔥$474k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$474k today$452k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$529k Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$366k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$529k Vol.🔥$366k today$264k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$79.5m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$337k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$79.5m Vol.🔥$337k today$1.1m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$408k Liq.
🔥$271k today
20
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$271k today$408k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$496k Liq.
🔥$261k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$261k today$496k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$761k Liq.
🔥$236k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$236k today$761k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$333k Liq.
🔥$205k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$205k today$333k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$2.2m Vol.
$134k Liq.
🔥$192k today
48
Ends in 9 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$192k today$134k Liq.48Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.1m Vol.
$220k Liq.
🔥$184k today
Ends in 27 days
$2.1m Vol.🔥$184k today$220k Liq.Ends in 27 days
13%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$13.1m Vol.
$619k Liq.
🔥$180k today
304
Ends in 3 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$180k today$619k Liq.304Ends in 3 months
18%
December 31