Germany Predictions & Odds· 159 markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
$29k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$29k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes

Berlin State Election Winner
$2.5m Vol.
$100k Liq.
🔥$353k today
8
Ends in 6 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$353k today$100k Liq.8Ends in 6 months
54%
CDU

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
$519k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
$519k Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 5 months
89%
AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
$133k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$133k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in 6 months
85%
AfD

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
$39k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months
$39k Vol.$57k Liq.3Ends in 5 months
87%
CDU

Sports · Games
Germany vs. Ghana
$257k Vol.
$354k Liq.
🔥$225k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$257k Vol.🔥$225k today$354k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
85%
Germany

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$4.8m Vol.🔥$52k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
1%
Yes

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
$528k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$528k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Rocket League · Esports
Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Germany

Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
0.1-0.3%

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$124k Vol.
$16k Liq.
21
Ends in about 15 hours
$124k Vol.$16k Liq.21Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes

Soccer · Sports
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
$426.9m Vol.
$49.3m Liq.
🔥$18.1m today
450
Ends in 4 months
$426.9m Vol.🔥$18.1m today$49.3m Liq.450Ends in 4 months
16%
Spain

Eurovision Winner 2026
$50.4m Vol.
$8.2m Liq.
🔥$3.0m today
248
Ends in about 2 months
$50.4m Vol.🔥$3.0m today$8.2m Liq.248Ends in about 2 months
35%
Finland

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$627k Vol.
$123k Liq.
🔥$458k today
10
Ends in about 1 month
$627k Vol.🔥$458k today$123k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$391k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$391k today$174k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
96%
Bahrain