Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 621 markets
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$520k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 1 month
$520k Vol.🔥$114k today$127k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 13-16
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.$81k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
100%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
49%
18-18.5m
0%
3.0M-3.2M
0%
3.2M-3.4M
0%
19-19.5m
1%
Yes
97%
<6,000
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$80k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
11%
Catherine Cortez Masto
1%
Yes
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$473 Vol.
$182 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$473 Vol.$182 Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
21%
Yes
46%
5,500-6,000
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 9 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.26Ends in about 9 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$819 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$819 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
Recurring · Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
$601 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$601 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
33%
26°C