Government Predictions & Odds· 5869 markets
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$35k Liq.
4
Ended
$98k Vol.$35k Liq.4Ended
85%
Democrats (D)
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$25k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.8m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$4.8m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$58.5m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$64.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,263
$64.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,263
72%
December 31
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.4m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$4.7m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.4m Vol.
$820k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
105
Ends in 12 days
$50.4m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$820k Liq.105Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA
Next French Presidential Election
$24.1m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
350
Ends in about 1 year
$24.1m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.6m Liq.350Ends in about 1 year
27%
Édouard Philippe
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.1m Vol.
$651k Liq.
🔥$911k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.1m Vol.🔥$911k today$651k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$793k today
3,680
Ends in 6 months
$33.8m Vol.🔥$793k today$1.8m Liq.3,680Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$655k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.0m Vol.🔥$655k today$1.4m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$648k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.🔥$648k today$158k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
5
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$640k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.6m Vol.🔥$640k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$428k today
818
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$428k today$1.3m Liq.818Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31