Gpt 4pt5 Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$104k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$104k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
63%
April 17
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
43%
None in 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$968 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$968 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$975 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$975 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
57%
60%+
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$357k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$357k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
64%
Anthropic
What will happen before GTA VI?
$19.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
795
Ends in 4 months
$19.8m Vol.$1.4m Liq.795Ends in 4 months
91%
Drake releases Iceman
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
37%
December 31, 2026
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$482k Vol.
$167k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$482k Vol.$167k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
43%
Anthropic
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.2m Vol.
$144k Liq.
19
Ends in about 2 months
$1.2m Vol.$144k Liq.19Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
49%
June 30
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$668k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$668k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
21%
June 30, 2026