Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 194 markets
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.3m Vol.
$76k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year
$1.3m Vol.$76k Liq.22Ends in over 1 year
48%
Morgan Stanley
I
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$163k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$163k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
June
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$1.1m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$62k today
25
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.🔥$62k today$164k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
94%
December 31
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.2m Vol.
$160k Liq.
176
Ends in over 1 year
$4.2m Vol.$160k Liq.176Ends in over 1 year
48%
$X
I
95%
SpaceX
W
1%
Yes
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$237k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$237k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 14 days
53%
4.5-5.0%
C
70%
4.0–5.0%
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$266k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$266k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
H
27%
70-80B
K
33%
December 31, 2026
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$243k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$243k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$58k Vol.
$54k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$54k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
30%
6–10s
C
23%
December 31, 2026
U
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$21k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
34%
0.3-0.6%
O
36%
December 31, 2026
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$117k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes