Jerome Predictions & Odds· 328 markets

J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$138k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month

1%

May 14

J
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

$243k Vol.
$22k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

70%

December 31

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

$145k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ended

100%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

$79k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

T
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump · Fed Rates

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

64%

June 30

W
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

$169k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$314k today
72
Ends in 7 months

95%

Kevin Warsh

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.9m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
26
Ends in 29 days

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.1m Vol.
$266k Liq.
🔥$842k today
1
Ends in 4 months

77%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m Vol.
$799k Liq.
🔥$268k today
14
Ends in 3 months

88%

No change

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$258k today
59
Ends in 9 months

37%

0 (0 bps)

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$297k Liq.
🔥$113k today
9
Ends in 8 months

28%

3.75%

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$741k Vol.
$49k Liq.
🔥$81k today
28
Ends in 8 months

18%

Yes

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$178k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

W
Who will Trump meet with in March?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

$274k Vol.
$117k Liq.
1
Ended

4%

MrBeast

H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$248k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ended

1%

4.6%

H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$161k Vol.
$31k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

92%

4.5%