July 4 Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

48%

Yes

XRP Up or Down - July 16, 4PM ET

XRP Up or Down - July 16, 4PM ET

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
183
Ended

Up

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$102k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

68%

8+

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$364k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

84%

Hong Wang

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.6m Vol.
$169k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

$647k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$512k Vol.
$21k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

Will Silver (SI) hit __ by end of March?

Will Silver (SI) hit __ by end of March?

$1.5m Vol.
$555k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

11%

↓ $65

CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$4k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

95%

Mike Thompson

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

72%

Laura Gillen

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$99k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

99%

Gold

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$14k Liq.
63

14%

Isfahan nuclear facility

SC-04 House Election Winner

SC-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

89%

Republican Party

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$931k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

47%

December 31

GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

96%

Democratic Party

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

$930 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

87%

Jim Baird

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

89%

Democratic Party

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

40%

3