July 4 Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$102k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$102k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$364k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$364k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$169k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$169k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$647k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$647k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$512k Vol.
$21k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$512k Vol.$21k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Will Silver (SI) hit __ by end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$555k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.5m Vol.$555k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
11%
↓ $65

95%
Mike Thompson

75%
Pause–Pause–Pause

72%
Laura Gillen

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$99k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$99k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
99%
Gold

91%
Republican Party

14%
Isfahan nuclear facility

89%
Republican Party

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$14k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
47%
December 31

96%
Democratic Party

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner
$930 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$930 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Jim Baird

89%
Democratic Party

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
40%
3