July 4 Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
T
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
41%
Yes
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$59k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$59k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
82%
8+
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 months
66%
Hong Wang
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$297k Liq.
🔥$67k today
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$67k today$297k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$533k Vol.
$35k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$35k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$650k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$650k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
C
96%
Mike Thompson
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
N
73%
Laura Gillen
I
91%
Republican Party
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$535k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
160
$535k Vol.🔥$131k today$15k Liq.160
13%
Yes
S
89%
Republican Party
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31
G
96%
Democratic Party
I
IN-04 Republican Primary Winner
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
79%
Jim Baird
O
89%
Democratic Party
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3
M
92%
Republican Party
N
78%
Democratic Party