Legislation Predictions & Odds· 380 markets
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
55%
4
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$290k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$290k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 5 hours
$415k Vol.$9k Liq.25Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$449k Vol.
$15k Liq.
35
Ends in 9 months
$449k Vol.$15k Liq.35Ends in 9 months
53%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$234k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$234k Vol.$37k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
26%
December 31
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
66%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$18k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$18k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$156k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$156k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$92k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$17k Liq.
12
Ends in about 5 hours
$2.2m Vol.$17k Liq.12Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$18k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$37k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Housing for the 21st Century Act