Machine Learning Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

$754 Vol.
$685 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Yes

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended

75%

Yes

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

$32k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

War Machine

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$135k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

$14k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Nobody 2

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

$26k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Trap House

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended

44%

December 31, 2026

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

38%

Yes

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

$2.7m Vol.
$7k Liq.
263
Ended

11%

December 31, 2026

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

29%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$27k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

2%

Yes

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

$1k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

93%

↓ $248

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$489k Vol.
$60k Liq.
3
Ends in about 7 hours

100%

OpenAI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

20%

Yes

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

96%

↓ $390