Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$740k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$80k today
28
Ends in 8 months
$740k Vol.🔥$80k today$48k Liq.28Ends in 8 months
18%
Yes
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$191k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$191k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
63%
↓ 3.25%
56%
$2.25–2.50
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up
41%
↑3.72%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in July?
$3.0m Vol.
$263k Liq.
🔥$781k today
1
Ends in 4 months
$3.0m Vol.🔥$781k today$263k Liq.1Ends in 4 months
77%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.8m Vol.
$806k Liq.
🔥$251k today
14
Ends in 3 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$251k today$806k Liq.14Ends in 3 months
89%
No change
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$247k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.8m Vol.🔥$247k today$1.6m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Fed decision in April?
$39.7m Vol.
$3.8m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
26
Ends in 29 days
$39.7m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$3.8m Liq.26Ends in 29 days
98%
No change
Tennis · Sports
Barletta: Marco Cecchinato vs Felix Gill
$129 Vol.
$688 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$129 Vol.$688 Liq.Ends in 8 days
53%
Marco Cecchinato
46%
Yes
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$139k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$139k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
May 14
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%