Margin Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$17k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$17k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 19 days
44%
PB 5-10%
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 12 days
26%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.2m Vol.
$160k Liq.
14
Ends in 12 days
$1.2m Vol.$160k Liq.14Ends in 12 days
38%
Tisza 9%+
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$72k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$72k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$63k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$63k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
39%
Lula da Silva <5%
98%
Stratton 6–9%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
45%
Yes
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$949 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$949 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 18600
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
31%
↑ 10 ETH
8%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
83%
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ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
97%
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