Mike Pompeo Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$440k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

50%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Republican VP nominee?

Republican VP nominee?

$92.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
351
Ended

JD Vance

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

$14.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
322
Ended

Pete Hegseth

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

U.S. Politics · Trump

Who will be part of Trump's Administration?

$7.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
621
Ended

Elon Musk

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

$353k Vol.
$2 Liq.
27
Ended

Other

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Nikki Haley

Trump's best state on March 19?

All

Trump's best state on March 19?

$91k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Florida

Republican VP cont.

Republican VP cont.

$13.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
83
Ended

Other

Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference?

Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference?

$108k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>60%

When will Trump announce VP pick?

When will Trump announce VP pick?

$561k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

July

Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >100M views by Friday?

Yes

Will Trump walk out to 50 Cent's "Many Men"?

Will Trump walk out to 50 Cent's "Many Men"?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

No

Trump + Logan Paul TikTok >50M views by Friday?

Yes