National Guard Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$48k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$48k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
40%
Yes
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
31%
April 30
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
45%
Yes
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$81k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$81k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$10k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$196k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
$413k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$413k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
30%
June 30
Team NKT
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 4 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes