National Guard Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$59k Liq.
72
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$59k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
30%
December 31
T
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
3%
Yes
W
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
40%
Yes
W
9%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
M
47%
Yes
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$20k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$20k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
A
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$4k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$11k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$11k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$196k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$62k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
W
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
F
30%
June 30
V
Team NKT
M
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
2%
Yes