Oil Ship Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

2%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

30%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$17k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

60%

<2

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$85k Vol.
$34k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month

58%

April 30

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$99k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

5%

March 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

$64k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours

98%

<5

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$414 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

18%

April 5

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

56%

20-24

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

41%

25-29

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$195k today
122
Ends in about 4 hours

28%

April 30

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

24%

Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$353k Vol.
$89k Liq.
🔥$55k today
38
Ends in about 1 month

26%

April 30

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$609k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

20+

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$184k today
Ends in about 4 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$331k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

86%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

36%

0-10

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$658k Vol.
$133k Liq.
🔥$222k today
16
Ends in about 1 month

37%

India

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$81k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

39%

June 30