Oil Ship Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$12k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

40%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$110k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$112k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended

79%

March 30

H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$87k Vol.
$24k Liq.
5
Ends in 30 days

64%

April 30

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$19k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

44%

<2

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

$66k Vol.
$29k Liq.
3
Ended

98%

<5

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$414 Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

42%

April 8

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

69%

20-24

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

59%

30-34

U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$269k Liq.
🔥$139k today
126
Ended

28%

April 30

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.7m Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$145k today
105
Ends in 30 days

18%

Yes

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$380k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$54k today
40
Ends in 30 days

28%

April 30

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$613k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ended

3%

20+

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

20%

25-29

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$9k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

65%

20+

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ended

97%

0-10

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$335k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days

84%

0-10

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$12k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

37%

0-10

W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$683k Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$56k today
20
Ends in 30 days

27%

United States