Operative Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
Yes
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$54.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$7.4m today
5,173
$54.8m Vol.🔥$7.4m today$1.1m Liq.5,173
77%
December 31
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$642k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.🔥$642k today$149k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
5
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$11.0m Vol.
$415k Liq.
🔥$229k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$11.0m Vol.🔥$229k today$415k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Saudi Arabia
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$479k Vol.
$197k Liq.
🔥$183k today
Ends in about 1 month
$479k Vol.🔥$183k today$197k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$21k Liq.
🔥$175k today
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$175k today$21k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
96%
March 30
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$157k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$157k today$179k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Bahrain
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$976k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$132k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$976k Vol.🔥$132k today$18k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
40%
March 31
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$87k today
111
Ends in 3 months
$1.1m Vol.🔥$87k today$48k Liq.111Ends in 3 months
86%
June 30
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$771k Vol.
$51k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 4 days
$771k Vol.🔥$80k today$51k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$95k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$71k today$95k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
39%
December 31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$4.8m Vol.$75k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$144k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$144k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
March 24
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$408k Vol.
$12k Liq.
54
Ends in about 5 hours
$408k Vol.$12k Liq.54Ends in about 5 hours
10%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$252k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$252k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$168k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$168k Vol.$147k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$44k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30