Peace Deals Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$68k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$68k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$366k Liq.
🔥$406k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$406k today$366k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$189k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$189k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$9k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$9k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$58k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$141k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$141k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$119k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$356k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$356k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Kuwait
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$2k Liq.
973
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$2k Liq.973Ends in 3 months
18%
June 30
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$533k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
W
What will Trump say during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement on January 22?
$361k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
$361k Vol.$0 Liq.40Ended
Iran / Israel / Gaza 7+ times