Pelosi Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
$330k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$330k Vol.$41k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
65%
Scott Wiener
Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$455k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$455k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$437k Liq.
139
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$437k Liq.139Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
$13k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$13k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
89%
Janelle Stelson
94%
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
70%
Bob Brooks
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$8k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
80%
25 - 30 minutes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 5 hours
$18k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in about 5 hours
100%
Nothing
93%
Republican Party